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1.
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We evaluate different approaches for using monthly indicators to predict Chinese GDP for the current and the next quarter (‘nowcasts’ and ‘forecasts’, respectively). We u[...]
2011 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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2.
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While the usefulness of factor models has been acknowledged over recent years, little attention has been devoted to the forecasting power of these models for the Japanese[...]
2012 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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3.
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We evaluate forecasts for the euro area in data-rich and ‘data-lean' environments by comparing three different approaches: a simple PMI model based on Purchasing Managers[...]
2010 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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4.
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The good forecasting performance of factor models has been well documented in the literature. While many studies focus on a very limited set of variables (typically GDP a[...]
2010 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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5.
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There are many models of fiscal policy in the economic literature and each has been based on a particular set of assumptions concerning the interaction of policy variable[...]
1983 | Text | Technical Report - Rapport technique |
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