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1.
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Demand for industrial raw materials from emerging economies, particularly emerging Asia, is widely believed to have fueled the surge in oil and industrial commodity price[...]
2012 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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2.
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We use vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients and stochastic volatility to investigate how the dynamic effects of oil supply shocks on the U.S. economy have ch[...]
2012 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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3.
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Recently, there has been increased interest in real-time forecasts of the real price of crude oil. Standard oil price forecasts based on reduced-form regressions or based[...]
2012 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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4.
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We estimate a New Keynesian general-equilibrium open economy model to examine how changes in oil prices affect the macroeconomy. Our model allows oil price changes to be [...]
2009 | Text | Staff Working Paper - Document de travail du personnel |
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5.
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The dramatic reduction in global demand, and the decline in the spot price of crude oil in the second half of last year, may have significant implications for the future [...]
2009 | Text | Staff Discussion Paper - Document d’analyse du personnel |
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